I’ve spent a lot of time today crunching numbers and looking at RPIs, records against the Top 50, etc., and with Southern Miss and St. John’s pulling upsets in conference tournaments the last two days, I think Liberty’s chances of making the regional field are pretty bleak. I just think the 0-7 against the Top 50 is going to haunt the Flames, and one of the main bubble teams they’re battling against is Elon, which beat Liberty twice. Here’s my mock bracket. Let’s see how it holds up when the regional field is announced Monday at 12:30 p.m. on ESPN. (# indicates national seeding.)

TEMPE REGIONAL
#1 Arizona State (46-8) vs. Stony Brook (30-25)
Texas A&M (40-19-1) vs. New Mexico (37-20)

CHARLOTTESVILLE REGIONAL
#2 Virginia (47-11) vs. VCU (31-24-1)
Oregon (37-22) vs. St. John’s (39-18)

GAINESVILLE REGIONAL
#3 Florida (42-15) vs. Bethune-Cookman (35-20)
Virginia Tech (38-20) vs. Florida Atlantic (34-22)

AUSTIN REGIONAL
#4 Texas (46-11) vs. Grambling (20-29)
Rice (38-21) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (37-20)

MYRTLE BEACH REGIONAL
#5 Coastal Carolina (51-7) vs. Bucknell (24-33)
College of Charleston (42-17) vs. North Carolina State (38-22)

LOS ANGELES REGIONAL
#6 UCLA (42-13) vs. Kent State (39-23)
Baylor (34-22) vs. UC Irvine (36-19)

LOUISVILLE REGIONAL
#7 Louisville (48-12) vs. Milwaukee (28-24)
Vanderbilt (41-17) vs. California (29-22)

ATLANTA REGIONAL
#8 Georgia Tech (45-13) vs. Mercer (37-22)
Alabama (37-21) vs. The Citadel (41-20)

CORAL GABLES REGIONAL
Miami (37-17) vs. Dartmouth (23-17)
LSU (39-20) vs. Florida International (36-23)

FAYETTEVILLE REGIONAL
Arkansas (40-18) vs. Saint Louis (33-27)
Washington State (34-19) vs. Southern Miss (35-22)

FORT WORTH REGIONAL
TCU (46-11) vs. Lamar (35-24)
Oregon State (31-21) vs. Kansas State (35-20)

AUBURN REGIONAL
Auburn (40-19) vs. Jacksonville State (32-24)
Clemson (38-21) vs. Stanford (31-23)

NORMAN REGIONAL
Oklahoma (44-15) vs. Oral Roberts (35-25)
Ole Miss (38-22) vs. Illinois State (30-22)

COLUMBIA REGIONAL
South Carolina (43-15) vs. Rider (36-21)
North Carolina (36-20) vs. Elon (38-22)

NORWICH REGIONAL
Florida State (42-17) vs. Central Connecticut (32-21)
Connecticut (47-13) vs. Kentucky (31-25)

FULLERTON REGIONAL
Cal State Fullerton (40-15) vs. Minnesota (27-28)
San Diego (35-19) vs. Hawaii (32-26)